// Condy Made It Through without a
Fight
U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza
Rice spent the day in Moscow yesterday.
First she met with members of civic society,
who optimistically assured her that
things on the whole were fine in Russia, both in business
and in politics. Then she and the Russian president
agreed to “tone down the rhetoric” and
not criticize each other as venomously as they had
been doing lately. She did not solve any problems,
but the main thing is that U.S.
President George W. Bush and Russian
president Vladimir Putin can meet next month
and act like old friends.
Rice gave
an in-depth interview to journalists traveling with her as
soon as she landed in Moscow, while still on the airplane.
She tried to smooth over the impression she made while appearing
before the Senate last Thursday. Rice harshly criticized
the “concentration of power in the Kremlin” before
the senators, but she explained to the journalists that relations
between Moscow and Washington were not at all as bad as they
may seem at first glance. "I don't throw around terms like
'new Cold War'," Rice said. "It is a big, complicated relationship
but it is not one that is anything like the implacable hostility.” She
added that she was a specialist on the subject, and "The
parallels just have no basis.”
Nor did Rice complete disavow her previous words. Russia
is not the Soviet Union and U.S.-Russian relations are not
U.S.-Soviet relations, she said, and Russia is a complex
where colossal changes have taken place, and nothing changes
overnight. But they would like to see the changes take place
faster and for the better.
Rice's change in tone was clearly due to the fact that she
not only had to argue in Moscow, but also to try to reach
an agreement on a number of important subjects. First, she
had to convince the Kremlin not to veto the UN
Security Council resolution declaring Kosovo an independent
state. In addition, she had to repeat that the missile defense
system being developed in Poland and the Czech Republic is
not intended for use against Russia.
Rice planned to explain to Russian authorities that it was
not a good idea for Moscow to withdraw from the Treaty on
Conventional Armed Forces in Europe. She told journalists
that the United States would like to ratify the treaty, but
cannot until Russia fulfills all its obligations under it,
that is, until Russia removes its troops from Transdniestria,
Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Rice's first talks in Moscow were with First Deputy Prime
Minister Sergey Ivanov. Since the negotiations were expected
to be difficult and disharmonious, they and all those following
were closed. Even the traditional photo session and appearance
before the press with the president were cancelled.
The most public meeting was between the secretary and representatives
of Russian society yesterday morning, before her meeting
with Putin.
The meeting was obviously limited to the most moderate opposition
to avoid irritating the Kremlin. Editor-in-chief of Nezavisimaya
gazeta Konstantin Remchukov, deputy chairman of the
Union of Right Forces political council Leonid Gozman and
New Eurasia Fund president Andrey Kortunov, vice president
of Renaissance
Capital Igor Yurgens and program director of the Open
Russia organization Irina Yasina were at a table at Spaso
House, the residence of the U.S. ambassador, at 9:45 a.m.
The American side was represented by Rice and U.S. Ambassador
William Burns. The guests told Kommersant that
they received their invitations to the meeting last Friday.
A diplomatic source said that “such meetings with the
public are normal practice for foreign ministers,” and
the participants at the event at the embassy were chosen
for their “variety.” “The secretary of
state planned to meet with various groups of the population
and interesting people who are open with their views were
invited to the embassy,” the source said.
According to the guests, the meeting was held as a tea. Rice
gave a short welcoming speech, saying once again that there
is no Cold War between Russia and the U.S. She mentioned
that she had been in Moscow in 1979, and that everything
was different now. Then she asked her guests to say a few
words. Yurgens spoke about business, Gozman about politics,
Kortunov about education and Yasina about civil rights.
Yurgens summarized his speech for Kommersant as
being about “the complex political element in Russian-American
relations, by comparison with which the economic element
is in good condition and shows promise.” Yurgens expressed
hope that the situation would change after the elections. “It
is hard to expect much improvement in political relations
now,” he said. “There are too many claims against
each other. But after the elections we will be able to evaluate
where we are standing and where we are going. It would be
nice to believe that the economic chapter in our relations
will be written grammatically and in optimistic tones.” Yurgens
optimistically puts his hope in the common interests of the
two countries. “Russians buy assets in America, and
Americans are direct portfolio investors in Russia. We do
not experience the pressure of politicians, who react to
conflicts large and small.”
Kortunov spoke of the absence of reasons for pessimism. “Both
sides are guilty in their worsening relations, but we have
many spheres for cooperation in the regions,” he said.
He mentioned successful educational exchanges as an example. “I
know that, at Stanford University, which you and I both graduated
from,” he told Rice, “a delegation of Russian
students studying information technology arrived not long
ago. St. Petersburg University had to pay $600,000 for it.
That shows that Russian educational institutions have gotten
money and that fact inspires hope.”
Gozman shared his political views (many as they applied to
the upcoming elections) with Kommersant that were
the basis of his speech at the U.S. embassy. “The main
ones won't be the presidential elections. They'll be predetermined
by the current head of state. The parliamentary elections
are the main ones. There are three positions there: whether United
Russia retains control as it battles Just Russia, how
national ideology will play out in the elections, and whether
the Union of Right Forces overcomes the seven-percent barrier.
I think that a country with a democratic faction and a country
without one are completely different.”
Remchukov spoke about freedom of the press. “I told
the secretary of state that, as the owner and editor-in-chief
of a print media outlet, I had never encountered pressure
from the authorities. Not during the purchase or when working
there did a single call come in. That means that the authorities
are obviously concentrating more on electronic media. I said
that freedom of speech is guaranteed by private owners. The
more of them there are, the greater the guarantee of objective
discussion in society.”
Rice asked the owner of Nezavisimaya gazeta (“Independent
Newspaper”) what Russians watch. “She admitted
that she flipped through the Russian channels in her hotel
room and saw games shows and court shows. I answered that
serials have become the most popular in Russia. That is demonstrated
by the fact that NTV moved
the news from 10:00 to 10:45 p.m. and gave that expensive
time slot to them. Ms. Rice reacted with interest.”
Yasina admitted to Kommersant that that she spoke
of less happy topics: about Manana Aslamazyan and the police
search of Internews and about Mikhail Khodorkovsky's lawyer
Yury Shmidt, who is waiting for his client to arrive from
Chita. That ruling was made a month ago. “I spoke about
the stranglehold of propaganda and the five minutes of hate
on Russian state TV. I recalled Orwell and his 1984. Condoleezza
Rice nodded when I mentioned it, that is, she read it
and remembered it,” Yasina said. Yasin was surprised
by “the optimistic tone of the conversation of the
men… They simply beamed optimism. The feeling arose
that everything is fine in business, in education and in
politics. Simply a country of popular democracy. I played
the role of the fifth column.” Yasina said that she
did not mention “attitudes toward the opposition outside
the system” or the Marches of the Dissenters, which
have caused so much criticism in the West. “I reached
my opposition limit and expected other guests to do the same.
That didn't happen,” she said.
The secretary of state's guests told Kommersant that
their speeches were not completely toothless. “I think
we have a mass of problems with democracy and freedoms,” Gozman
told Kommersant. “But the people who talk
about hopelessness are exaggerating. There is private property
and individual freedoms. Those are good perspectives that
make a return to the USSR impossible. Our conversation was
intended to help the secretary of state get rid of stereotypes
about Russia and see the situation more correctly.”
The conversation ended with international issues. Rice asked
how Russia feels about the possibility of giving Kosovo independence. “We
warned the U.S. against a unilateral resolution of the Kosovo
question,” Remchukov said. “We said that it would
irreversibly lead to a broad wave of anti-Americanism in
Russian society and accusations of double standards. We said
that the topic of unfriendly' states could become one of
the main ways of earning political points in election campaigns.” Yasina
added, “Everyone agreed that, after such an event,
there would be little to keep Transdniestria, South Ossetia
and Abkhazia from seceding from Moldova and Georgia.”
The culmination of the day was Rice's meeting with the Russian
president at Novo-Ogarevo. Judging by the statement made
by Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, they went through the
full list of fundamentally worrisome issues without finding
a solution to any of them, since they offered mutually exclusive
solutions. Rice expressed Washington's position on Kosovo
again. Putin listened to her. “As for Kosovo, we agreed
to try to find a resolution that would suit everyone but,
unfortunately, we haven't found it yet,” Lavrov said.
Even without achieving concrete results, Rice suggested a
timeout on the mutual harsh criticism to the Russian president.
She suggested that the powerful surge in anti-Americanism
by Russian politicians is clearly tied to the upcoming elections – authorities
are trying to use it to mobilize the voters. “The American
side emphasized that Russian-American relations cannot be
made hostage to the election cycles of both countries. The
president supported such an approach,” Lavrov said.
The decision by Rice and Putin to “tone down the rhetoric” in
public and concentrate on specific issues is undoubtedly
important, but predictable. Moscow and Washington have always
tried to quarrel for appearance's sake and create the impression
of constructive dialog in face-to-face meetings. That is
particularly true of personal relations between Putin and U.S.
President George W. Bush. There is a month left before
they meet at the G8
summit in Germany, where the leaders will have to look
like old friends. Rice thus achieved the minimum for the
visit. But it is clear that Moscow and Washington may begin
accusing each other of deadly sins again in July.
Mikhail Zygar, Yulia Taratuta
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